Last week a number of outlets reported (http://bit.ly/1bTBwjC) that connections of The Fugue are leaning towards a tilt at the Breeders’ Cup Turf instead of the fillies and mares race over two furlongs shorter.
With this being the case it may well be time to act in the latter market as two firms (there was three before Paddy Power pulled their market) appear to be sleeping. Sky Bet and William Hill still have a market up and although a full month away from the race the 9-2 about DANK is simply irresistible.
After her maiden trip to the states proved fruitful in the ‘win and you’re in’ (for the Breeders’ Cup race) Beverley D Stakes connections highlighted the Filly And Mare race at Santa Anita as her next objective.
Should all go well with Dank in her preparation and The Fugue take in her said race Sir Michael Stoute’s improving filly should take all the beating. If all the above does go according to plan I can assure you we will not see 9-2 about the selection this side of the Atlantic on the night.
I also very much doubt we’ll see 9-2 in California given how impressive Dank was in the Beverley D Stakes at Arlington (Race replay http://bit.ly/15DMBhR). You can see how easily she won from another Great British raider, Gifted Girl.
Gifted Girl has since gone on to prove that was no fluke by running well in a race against British colts over a trip simply too far for her. The key horse however, in terms of American form, a formbook I know next to nothing about, is the fourth home, Marketing Mix.
This mare was a sound second in last year’s Filly And Mare Turf and coming into the Beverley D had won her two starts. Now, the starting prices would suggest that she may not have run up to scratch, but she has since run, finishing second and ran to the similar mark to her pre-Beverley D effort.
This may mean she was simply outclassed by Dank and if that is the case the selection looks to have a sound chance.
Sir Michael Stoute’s daughter of Dansili is related to high-class 1m-1m4f performer Eagle Mountain, half-sister to Prix Marcel Boussac winner Sulk (stayed 1m7f) and 1m Listed winner Wallace; dam triple 1m2f winner, out of French 1,000/Robert Papin winner Masarika.
And since she has finally stepped up from eight furlongs to just under ten, in accordance with her pedigree, she hasn’t looked back. Group Two and Group One wins have been gained in her latest pair of efforts and with her seemingly improving with each start she will be tough to beat at the Breeders’ Cup.
The four-year-old will have no ground concerns and should get her favoured fast surface. She has already shown she can handle travelling to America and won on an American left-handed track. Furthermore, she is in the care of a master partnership in Sir Michael Stoute/Ryan Moore and will represent a trainer who scored in this very race, at Santa Anita too, in 2003 with Islington.
As ever we risk our stake in ante-post markets, but she’s an intended runner and her profile screams a big run is in store. If The Fugue does in fact take up her intended plans I can assure you we will not see 9-2 about the selection. Nothing is certain though so I’m going to suggest an each-way play.
All we need now is a favourable low draw, The Fugue not to run and I’m sure we’ll be ahead of the market with a live chance of scoring.
3pts each-way DANK @9-2 (Sky Bet, William Hill)