Hopefully a shrewder approach to the final day of Royal Ascot, four suggested bets.
2.30 Royal Ascot – Chesham Stakes
MAGILLEN impressed me when going down by a nose on debut behind a well-backed juvenile at Leicester. He moved through the race like a nice horse, he travelled sweetly and in the end maybe did well to get so close to winning – coming clear of the 4th – given he raced away from the main pace.
He steps up in trip today which is an unknown. There is plenty of speed on the dam’s side of his pedigree, but his sire Lope De Vega is a decent stamina influence. Frankie Dettori takes the ride for Charlie Hills whose horse should improve for his sole run.
ISOMER is another horse worth supporting at a big price. He made a highly encouraging debut at Newbury despite being slow into stride, racing keenly and showing signs of greeness.
He travelled superbly well, but was just overhauled close home. His pedigree suggests the step up to seven furlongs today will be no problem and with Jamie Spencer in the saddle – a man who rides this straight course at Ascot well – he has each-way claims.
1pt each-way Isomer @20/1 (Betfair 1/4 odds 1,2,3,4), 22/1 (general)
1pt each-way Magillen @20/1 (Betfair 1/4 odds 1,2,3,4), 20/1 (general)
3.40 Royal Ascot – Hardwicke Stakes
There seems to be a quiet confidence about BEAUTIFUL ROMANCE coming into this year’s Hardwicke Stakes and in the betting without the race-favourite Exosphere market she rates as a better value bet.
The daughter of New Approach was part of a decent three-year-old fillies crop last year, but due to an interrupted campaign couldn’t show her true worth. She still ran to a decent level however, winning a Listed race at Windsor and also finishing a sound 3rd in a Group 1 at Ascot on Champions Day.
This season, in winning at York last time out, she surprised me at how well she handled the quick ground over a trip (10f) I thought would be too sharp for her. I think she is an improved horse this season and now she steps back up to 12f on softer terrain there may be even more to come.
2pts win Beautiful Romance ‘betting without Exosphere’ @11/2 (Paddy Power), 5/1 (Coral, Ladbrokes, Sky Bet, William Hill)
4.20 Royal Ascot – Diamond Jubilee Stakes
I honestly couldn’t put anyone off backing the progressive pair of Magical Memory or The Tin Man – it will come as no surprise to see one of those win, but TWILIGHT SON is going to get the nod in a cracking looking race.
Henry Candy’s sprinting star was one of the most progressive horses in training last season. Having won a handicap off 82 at the start of the season he eventually won the Group 1 Haydock Sprint Cup where he had Magical Memory behind.
He then finished second to the brilliant Muhaarar on Champions Day at Ascot despite him having the worst of the draws. This particular day he had The Tin Man behind.
His comeback run this season behind Magical Memory on first glance looked disappointing, but on ground that was probably a touch quick for him, from an awful draw where there was no pace while carrying a penalty on his seasonal debut, it was a highly satisfactory start.
On slower ground and on 5lb better terms, I can see him getting much closer to Magical Memory especially with the selection proving he goes well at Ascot whereas Charlie Hills’s runner has his first try at the track.
I just fancy Twilight Son over the The Tin Man because James Fanshawe’s horse has changed running style. Having raced prominently in the past connections now use hold-up tactics and horses like that are always in the lap of the pace gods. Twilight Son is a prominent racer and it sounds like he will have some kind of headstart on him in a race that may not be run at a strong gallop.
Last year’s American winner Undrafted is back to defend his crown, but in a stronger race on slower ground he looks to have more on his plate. Frankie Dettori not riding him is also a negative.
1pt win Twilight Son @4/1 (general)